PROJECTForecasting State and National Trends in Household Formation and Homeownership


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  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Wyoming
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Wisconsin
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in West Virginia
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Washington
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Virginia
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Vermont
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Utah
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Texas
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Tennessee
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in South Dakota
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in South Carolina
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Rhode Island
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Pennsylvania
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Oregon
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Oklahoma
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Ohio
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in North Dakota
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in North Carolina
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in New York
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in New Mexico
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in New Jersey
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in New Hampshire
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Nevada
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Nebraska
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Montana
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Missouri
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Mississippi
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Minnesota
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Michigan
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Massachusetts
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Maryland
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Maine
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Louisiana
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Kentucky
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Kansas
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Iowa
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Indiana
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Illinois
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Idaho
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Hawaii
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Georgia
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Florida
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in District of Columbia
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Delaware
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Connecticut
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Colorado
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in California
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Arkansas
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Arizona
  • The Future of Household Formation and Homeownership in Alaska

  • Forecasting State Homeownership Trends

    Trends in household formation and homeownership have important implications for states’ housing markets and broader economies. They also reveal who has benefited from homeownership and who has been shut out of this critical wealth-building tool. To better understand the past and future of household formation and homeownership in South Carolina, we look at trends by age, race, and ethnicity. Our projections, using data from decennial censuses and the American Community Survey, show what will happen over the next two decades if current policies stay the same. For more details on the methodology, see our report.

    Household Formation

    We look at changes in the number of households (defined as one or more people who live in a housing unit) for four racial and ethnic groups: Hispanic, non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic Black, and people of other races, which includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people (all of whom are non-Hispanic). We also examine household formation trends for people younger than 65 and people ages 65 and older.

    Number of Households and Household Growth

    Number of Households in South Carolina, by Race or Ethnicity
     
      1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
    Total 1,257,618 1,534,164 1,801,150 1,992,960 2,256,151 2,474,224
    White 919,458 1,078,400 1,231,710 1,345,443 1,511,164 1,634,734
    Black 322,317 406,364 469,180 509,655 550,578 580,017
    Hispanic 7,776 22,972 59,150 83,326 115,285 151,555
    Other 8,067 26,428 41,110 54,535 79,123 107,918
      Household Growth: South Carolina Household Growth: Nationwide
    2010–2020 2020–2030 2030–2040 2010–2020 2020–2030 2030–2040
    Total 10.6% 13.2% 9.7% 5.9% 6.4% 5.4%
    White 9.2% 12.3% 8.2% 0.1% 0.5% −1.3%
    Black 8.6% 8.0% 5.3% 9.9% 10.1% 8.8%
    Hispanic 40.9% 38.4% 31.5% 22.1% 19.2% 17.3%
    Other 32.7% 45.1% 36.4% 20.9% 20.0% 18.4%

    Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
    Notes: Values for 2020, 2030, and 2040 are projected values. The “Other” category includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people.

    Number of Households in South Carolina, by Age


     

    Number of Households in South Carolina, by Age, Race, and Ethnicity
     
      Younger than 65 65 and older
    White Black Hispanic Other White Black Hispanic Other
    1990 717,573 257,079 6,963 7,737 201,885 65,238 813 330
    2000 833,147 334,562 21,640 23,724 245,253 71,802 1,332 2,704
    2010 911,870 381,250 55,770 36,190 319,840 87,930 3,380 4,920
    2020 892,562 378,357 75,061 44,606 452,881 131,298 8,265 9,929
    2030 914,141 374,989 96,137 63,270 597,023 175,589 19,148 15,853
    2040 954,401 383,754 118,686 85,001 680,333 196,263 32,869 22,917
    Number of Households in the United States, by Age, Race, and Ethnicity
     
      Younger than 65 65 and older
    White Black Hispanic Other White Black Hispanic Other
    2000 60,344,232 9,972,344 8,293,773 4,728,999 18,748,904 1,835,658 928,629 627,564
    2020 55,784,880 11,872,258 14,733,722 7,456,779 26,591,297 3,379,648 2,550,232 1,616,708
    2040 48,524,107 13,051,680 19,825,205 10,817,807 33,236,589 5,553,598 6,026,735 3,088,951

    Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
    Notes: Values for 2020 and 2040 are projected values. The “Other” category includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people.

    Household Racial and Ethnic Composition, by Age, in South Carolina, and Nationwide

    Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
    Notes: Values for 2020, 2030, and 2040 are projected values. The “Other” category includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people.

    Homeownership

    We look at changes in homeownership for four racial and ethnic groups: Hispanic, non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic Black, and people of other races, which includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people (all of whom are non-Hispanic). We also examine trends in the number of homeowners and renters younger than 65 and people 65 and older.

    South Carolina Homeownership Rates, by Race or Ethnicity
     
      1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
    Total 69.8% 72.2% 69.3% 70.5% 69.5% 68.1%
    White 74.0% 77.5% 76.5% 78.8% 78.1% 76.9%
    Black 58.8% 61.0% 54.9% 52.2% 50.7% 49.0%
    Hispanic 49.8% 38.6% 42.8% 51.5% 51.0% 49.8%
    Other 55.3% 55.5% 58.6% 65.9% 63.9% 63.4%
    National Homeownership Rates, by Race or Ethnicity
     
      1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
    Total 65.3% 66.2% 65.1% 64.7% 63.6% 62.2%
    White 70.1% 72.4% 72.2% 73.0% 72.5% 71.4%
    Black 45.2% 46.3% 44.3% 41.9% 41.1% 40.6%
    Hispanic 43.3% 45.7% 47.3% 49.0% 50.2% 51.3%
    Other 53.7% 53.0% 56.3% 58.1% 57.9% 57.4%

    Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
    Notes: Values for 2020, 2030, and 2040 are projected values. The “Other” category includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people.

    Homeowners and Renters, by Age, in South Carolina and Nationwide

    South Carolina Homeownership Rates, by Age
     
      1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
    Younger than 65 66.7% 69.1% 65.2% 64.3% 63.1% 61.0%
    65 and older 81.5% 83.7% 83.2% 84.8% 81.1% 79.8%
    National Homeownership Rates, by Age
     
      1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
    Younger than 65 62.3% 63.0% 61.6% 59.5% 57.5% 56.5%
    65 and older 75.8% 78.1% 77.5% 78.4% 76.0% 73.0%

    Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
    Note: Values for 2020, 2030, and 2040 are projected values.

    Millions of Owners and Renters in South Carolina and Nationwide, by Age

    Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
    Note: Values for 2020, 2030, and 2040 are projected values.

    Research Areas Housing finance
    Policy Centers Housing Finance Policy Center