Brief Quantifying the Value of the Federal Home Loan Bank System
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Summary of a Three-Part Study
Bryson Berry, Jung Hyun Choi, Laurie Goodman, Daniel Pang, Kathryn Reynolds, Katie Visalli, John Walsh, Jun Zhu
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This brief summarizes a three-part study that quantifies the economic value of the Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLBank) System to the US financial and housing finance systems. The three studies examine (1) how the system supports member liquidity and financial stability, (2) expands mortgage and community lending, and (3) funds affordable housing and community development programs. Across multiple methodologies and scenarios, the research estimates that the FHLBank System generates between $94.2 billion and $133.2 billion in annual economic value through crisis prevention, increased lending activity, and mission-oriented investments.

Why This Matters

The FHLBank System plays a central but often underexamined role in the US housing finance system. This research provides a comprehensive assessment of the FHLBank System’s economic value and broader contributions to financial stability, housing finance, and community investment. The findings are relevant for policymakers, regulators, housing finance practitioners, and community lenders evaluating the FHLBank System’s future role, mission, and structure.

Key Takeaways

The three-part study finds that the FHLBank System provides substantial economic and financial value through three primary channels: liquidity and crisis prevention, increased lending activity, and targeted affordable housing and community development programs.

  • FHLBank advances strengthen financial stability and reduce systemic risk.
    Advances increase significantly during periods of market stress and help institutions manage liquidity shocks. The study estimates that FHLBank membership reduces bank failure risk by roughly 10 percent and lowers broader systemic risk in the banking system. Estimated annual economic benefits from crisis prevention range from $13.2 billion to $21.4 billion, including avoided Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation losses and reduced macroeconomic disruptions.
  • FHLBank funding supports substantial increases in mortgage and community lending. Using call report, Home Mortgage Disclosure Act, and Community Reinvestment Act data, the study finds that advances are associated with higher levels of total lending, residential mortgage lending, and small business lending, with stronger relationships observed after the financial crisis. Between 2002 and 2024, advances contributed to an estimated $1.82 trillion increase in lending and approximately $850 billion in residential real estate lending across banks and credit unions.
  • Mission-oriented housing and community development programs generate meaningful economic impact. Between 2015 and 2024, the FHLBanks deployed more than $147 billion through affordable housing, community investment, and mission-oriented programs. These programs supported affordable rental housing production, homeownership assistance, community development projects, and secondary market liquidity. Under the study’s framework, these activities generated an estimated $16.5 billion to $94.8 billion in economic impact over the period, with a base-case estimate of $47.1 billion.

How We Did It

The brief synthesizes findings from three empirical studies examining the FHLBank System’s role in liquidity provision, lending activity, and mission-oriented housing programs. Researchers used quarterly call report data, Home Mortgage Disclosure Act mortgage data, Community Reinvestment Act lending data, and FHLBank mission program data from 2002 through 2024. Methodologies included fixed-effects regressions, difference-in-differences models, vector autoregression models, and scenario-based economic impact modeling. Although the findings suggest substantial benefits through rigorous scenario analyses, the study does not establish definitive causal effects, as measuring the full counterfactual impact of the FHLBank System remains challenging. Future research should continue to evaluate the FHLBank System’s evolving role and explore its broader impacts on housing affordability, community development, and financial stability.

Research and Evidence Housing and Communities
Expertise Housing Housing Finance Policy Center
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