Research Report Bush Administration Tax Policy: Short-Term Stimulus
William G. Gale, Peter Orszag
Display Date
File
File
Download
(170.7 KB)

Add Urban on Google
This paper examines the effects of recent tax cuts as a short-term economic stimulus. The passage of the tax cuts was well-timed to offset economic downturns, but several elements of the structure of the tax cuts were poorly designed to provide short-term stimulus. For example, the tax cuts were predominantly back-loaded and did not channel funds toward groups with the highest marginal propensity to consume additional resources. Many provisions were intended to stimulate saving, not consumption. As a result, the tax cuts had at best a small "bang for the buck" relative to other options. An alternative package one containing significant state fiscal relief and tax cuts targeted at low-income households could have provided more stimulus with lower budgetary costs. The tax cuts played a relatively minor role in the economic recovery, compared to monetary policy and other factors.
Research and Evidence Tax and Income Supports Upward Mobility
Expertise Upward Mobility and Inequality Taxes and the Economy
Tags Fiscal policy Federal budget and economy