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Oregon’s budget basics
According to the National Association of State Budget Officers (NASBO), Oregon’s total expenditures in fiscal year (FY) 2021 were $59.6 billion, including general funds, other state funds, bonds, and federal funds. NASBO reported that total expenditures across all states in FY 2021 were $2.7 trillion, ranging from $4.7 billion in Wyoming to $512.8 billion in California.
Each state allocates spending and taxes differently among different levels of governments, and local governments often administer programs with state funds, so combined state and local government data show a more complete picture of individual benefits and contributions when comparing states.
Per the US Census Bureau, Oregon’s combined state and local direct general expenditures were $50.9 billion in FY 2019 (the most recent year census data were available), or $12,067 per capita. (Census data exclude “business-like” activities such as utilities and transfers between state and local governments.) National per capita direct general expenditures were $10,161.
Oregon’s largest spending areas per capita were public welfare ($2,878) and elementary and secondary education ($2,162). The Census Bureau includes most Medicaid spending in public welfare but also allocates some of it to public hospitals. Per capita spending is useful for state comparisons but is an incomplete metric because it doesn’t provide any information about a state’s demographics, policy decisions, administrative procedures, or residents’ choices.
Oregon’s combined state and local general revenues were $50.1 billion in FY 2019, or $11,875 per capita. National per capita general revenues were $10,563. Oregon does not levy a general sales tax. After federal transfers, Oregon’s largest sources of per capita revenue were charges ($2,449), such as state university tuition and highway tolls, and individual income taxes ($2,336).
Governor Kate Brown, a Democrat, was elected in 2018 with 50 percent of the vote. The next gubernatorial election is in 2022.
Democrats control both the House of Representatives (37 Democrats to 22 Republicans) and Senate (16 Democrats to 11 Republicans and 1 independent). Control of the governor’s mansion and each house of the legislature gives Democrats a trifecta in Oregon. All Oregon House seats are on the ballot in 2022 because representatives serve two-year terms. Senators serve four-year terms; roughly half the senatorial seats are on the ballot in 2022, and the other half will be up for election in 2024.
Oregon’s budget institutions, rules, and constraints
Oregon uses a biennial budget. The legislature must pass a balanced budget, but it can carry a deficit over into the following year. Oregon further limits both spending and revenue growth with a budget rule based on personal income growth. The rules are binding and require a legislative supermajority or vote of the people to override them. The state also requires a three-fifths supermajority to pass bills that increase tax rates. The state does not have any limits on debt service or authorized debt.
Oregon also uses a unique budget rule known in the state as “the kicker.” When the state’s actual revenue collections are 2 percent or more above the official revenue forecast for the two-year budget cycle, the excess revenue is returned to Oregon taxpayers as a tax credit on resident’s state income tax (thus, the size of the rebate depends on the filer’s income). There are separate kickers for individual income tax revenue and corporate income tax revenue. Oregon voters approved the kicker in a 1980 ballot initiative.
For example, in 2019 the state’s tax collections unexpectedly soared and ended up $1.6 billion above the 2 percent kicker line. As a result, the median Oregon taxpayer will get a tax credit worth $346 on their tax year 2019 state income tax. Higher earners will get tax rebates worth thousands of dollars when they file next year.
(Note: Some states have informal budget institutions that constrain overall spending growth or a specific expenditure’s growth.)
Oregon’s current budget
Governor Brown has not released a supplemental budget proposal (the state uses a biennial budget). She gave her state of the state address in February 2022.
Oregon enacted its FY 2022-2023 biennial budget in June 2021. The enacted budget included $112.8 billion in total fund spending and $26.8 billion in general fund spending over the two-year period. The general fund total was 12 percent higher than the previously enacted budget.
Under the American Rescue Plan, Oregon will receive $2.6 billion in direct state fiscal aid and $1.3 billion in local government aid from the federal government. As of January 2022, Oregon had spent part of its ARP funds on public safety, capital construction, health, and economic development.
According to NASBO, Oregon’s recent expenditure totals (general fund spending/total spending, including federal transfers) were:
FY 2021: $10.3 billion/$59.6 billion
FY 2020: $11.6 billion/$48.8 billion
FY 2019: $9.6 billion/$42.6 billion
For more on Oregon’s budget, see
Oregon’s economic trends
Oregon’s per capita income (per the Bureau of Economic Analysis) was $60,676 in 2021, ranking 21st among the states. It was below both the national average of $63,444 and the Far West regional average of $73,053. The state’s median household income (five-year estimate) was $65,667 in 2020, ranking 18th among the states and above the national average of $64,994. Oregon’s poverty rate was 12.4 percent in 2020 (five-year estimate), below the national rate of 12.8 percent.
Although Oregon’s averages tell a story about the entire state, Oregon is composed of diverse localities. For example, the city of Klamath Falls’s median household income was $40,783, and its poverty rate was 23.2 percent; the city of Happy Valley’s median household income was $124,381, and its poverty rate was 3.4 percent.
Oregon’s unemployment rate has historically been above the national average. (See how COVID-19 is affecting state employment and earnings data.)
Unemployment rates (like other economic indicators) often vary significantly by race and ethnicity. In Oregon, the average unemployment rate in 2021 was 4.8 percent for white residents, 14.8 percent for Black residents, and 6.9 percent for Hispanic or Latino residents. (This is preliminary data. See the 2020 data for a more detailed breakdown of state unemployment rates by race and ethnicity.)