State Fiscal Briefs
June 2022
Looking for Connecticut data related to the pandemic? We have health, economic, and fiscal data on our new tool, How the COVID-19 Pandemic is Transforming State Budgets.
Connecticut’s budget basics
According to the National Association of State Budget Officers (NASBO), Connecticut’s total expenditures in fiscal year (FY) 2021 were $35.7 billion, including general funds, other state funds, bonds, and federal funds. NASBO reported that total expenditures across all states in FY 2021 were $2.7 trillion, ranging from $4.7 billion in Wyoming to $512.8 billion in California.
Each state allocates spending and taxes differently among different levels of governments, and local governments often administer programs with state funds, so combined state and local government data show a more complete picture of individual benefits and contributions when comparing states.
Per the US Census Bureau, Connecticut’s combined state and local direct general expenditures were $35.8 billion in FY 2019 (the most recent year census data were available), or $10,031 per capita. (Census data exclude “business-like” activities such as utilities and transfers between state and local governments.) National per capita direct general expenditures were $10,161.
Connecticut’s largest spending areas per capita were elementary and secondary education ($2,846) and public welfare ($1,122). The Census Bureau includes most Medicaid spending in public welfare but also allocates some of it to public hospitals. Per capita spending is useful for state comparisons but is an incomplete metric because it doesn’t provide any information about a state’s demographics, policy decisions, administrative procedures, or residents’ choices.
Connecticut’s combined state and local general revenues were $44.5 billion in FY 2019, or $12,466 per capita. National per capita general revenues were $10,563. Connecticut uses all major state and local taxes. Connecticut’s largest sources of per capita revenue were property taxes ($3,215) and federal transfers ($2,514).
Connecticut’s politics
Governor Ned Lamont, a Democrat, was elected in 2018 with 49 percent of the vote. The next gubernatorial election is in 2022.
Democrats control both the House of Representatives (96 Democrats to 54 Republicans) and Senate (23 Democrats to 13 Republicans). Control of the governor’s mansion and each house of the legislature gives Democrats a trifecta in Connecticut. The entire legislature is up for election in 2022 because both representatives and senators serve two-year terms.
Connecticut’s budget institutions, rules, and constraints
Connecticut uses a biennial budget. The legislature must pass a balanced budget, but it can carry a deficit into the following year. State spending growth is limited further by the average growth in personal income. The rule is binding and thus requires a legislative supermajority or vote of the people to override it. However, the state does not have any supermajority requirements for raising revenue or passing a budget. On top of these rules, the state limits its authorized debt.
(Note: Some states have informal budget institutions that constrain overall spending growth or a specific expenditure’s growth.)
Connecticut’s current budget
Governor Lamont released his FY 2023 budget adjustment proposal (the state uses a biennial budget) and gave his state of state address in February 2022. The FY 2023 budget adjustment was enacted in May 2022.
Connecticut enacted its fiscal 2022-2023 biennial budget in June 2021. The enacted budget included general fund spending of $20.8 billion in FY 2022 and $21.7 billion in FY 2023.
Under the American Rescue Plan, Connecticut will receive $2.8 billion in direct state fiscal aid and $1.4 billion in local government aid from the federal government. As of January 2022, Connecticut had spent part of its state ARP funds on revenue replacement, economic development, refilling its unemployment insurance trust fund, health programs, and education spending. Governor Lamont also used ARP funds to temporarily increase the state’s earned income tax credit from 30.5 percent of the federal credit to 41.5 percent.
According to NASBO, Connecticut’s recent expenditure totals (general fund spending/total spending, including federal transfers) were:
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FY 2021: $20.1 billion/$35.7 billion
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FY 2020: $19.2 billion/$34.0 billion
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FY 2019: $19.2 billion/$34.4 billion
For more on Connecticut’s budget, see
Connecticut’s economic trends
Connecticut’s per capita income (per the Bureau of Economic Analysis) was $82,082 in 2021, ranking second among the states. It was above both the national average of $63,444 and the New England regional average of $76,651. The state’s median household income (five-year estimate) was $79,855 in 2020, ranking fifth among the states and above the national average of $64,994. Connecticut’s poverty rate was 9.8 percent in 2020 (five-year estimate), below the national rate of 12.8 percent.
Although Connecticut’s averages tell a story about the entire state, Connecticut is composed of diverse localities. For example, the city of Hartford’s median household income was $36,154, and its poverty rate was 28 percent; the city of Shelton’s median household income was $98,873, and its poverty rate was 5.4 percent.
Connecticut’s unemployment rate was below the national rate for much of the 2000s, but it has been slightly above the national average for most of the past decade. (See how COVID-19 is affecting state employment and earnings data.)
Unemployment rates (like other economic indicators) often vary significantly by race and ethnicity. In Connecticut, the average unemployment rate in 2021 was 6.4 percent for white residents, 6.7 percent for Black residents, and 8.4 percent for Hispanic or Latino residents. (This is preliminary data. See the 2020 data for a more detailed breakdown of state unemployment rates by race and ethnicity.)
The major industries that contributed the most to Connecticut’s gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 were finance, professional services, manufacturing, social services (i.e. health and education), and government. Connecticut’s finance industry is noticeably larger than the national average and its regional average. However, according to Connecticut’s Office of Fiscal Analysis, the state’s finance industry has not fully recovered from the Great Recession, though New York’s similarly large finance industry has.
Looking at more specific industries, among those that accounted for at least one percent of Connecticut’s GDP in 2019, insurance carriers produced far more for the state than for the nation, contributing 8 percent to Connecticut’s GDP and 2.9 percent to the nation’s. Other industries that overperformed in Connecticut relative to national averages in 2019 were securities and commodity contracts, transportation equipment manufacturing, broadcasting and telecommunications, and education.
Connecticut’s demographics
As of July 2020, Connecticut’s population was 3,557,006. That was down 0.6 percent from 2010. For comparison, the nation’s population experienced 6.5 percent growth over the same period. The Urban Institute estimates the state’s population will increase 8 percent between 2010 and 2030, less than the nation’s estimated growth rate of 16 percent.
Additional resources
- The State and Local Finance Initiative’s Backgrounders explain the tax and spending issues highlighted in these briefs.
- The State Economic Monitor presents updated data and customized visualizations of state economic indicators.
- State and Local Finance Data: Exploring the Census of Governments allow users to sort, customize, and download the Census of Governments State and Local Finance series data featured in these summaries.
- The State Tax and Economic Review series provides quarterly reports on state tax collections and underlying economic trends in all 50 states.
- The Urban Institute’s State Tax Data Subscriptions provide access to up-to-date revenue data in all 50 states.