Research Report Job Turnover, Wage Rates, and Marital Stability
Subtitle
How Are They Related?
Avner Ahituv, Robert I. Lerman
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This study examines the interplay between job stability, wage rates, and marital instability. We use a Dynamic Selection Control model in which young men make sequential choices about work and family. Our empirical estimates derived from the model account for self-selection, simultaneity, and unobserved heterogeneity. The results capture how job stability affects earnings, how both affect marital status, and how marital status affects earnings and job stability. The study reveals robust evidence that job instability lowers wages and the likelihood of getting and remaining married. At the same time, marriage raises wages and job stability. To project the sequential effects linking job stability, marital status, and earnings, we simulate the impacts of shocks that raise preferences for marriage and that increase education. Feedback effects cause the simulated wage gains from marriage to accumulate over time, indicating that long-run marriage wage premiums exceed conventional short-run estimates.
Research Areas Education Wealth and financial well-being Families Workforce
Tags Workforce development Family and household data Family structure Wages and nonwage compensation
Policy Centers Center on Labor, Human Services, and Population