Technical Paper Estimating the Potential Impacts of the Administration’s Fiscal Year 2018 Budget Proposal on Safety Net Programs Using Microsimulation
Linda Giannarelli, Laura Wheaton, Joyce Morton
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The administration’s FY 18 budget proposal includes specific changes in five safety net programs, and a general cut in non-defense discretionary spending that could affect other programs.   This analysis estimates the potential family-level impacts of those changes by applying a comprehensive microsimulation model to Current Population Survey data, with adjustments to have the data better represent the population and economy in 2018.   We find that about one in five families are affected, losing an average of $1230 in annual resources.  Almost 2.9 million families are estimated to lose at least $2,500 in annual resources.

Research Areas Wealth and financial well-being Social safety net
Tags Families with low incomes Low-Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) Welfare and safety net programs Supplemental Security Income (SSI) Wealth inequality Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) Housing subsidies Inequality and mobility Hunger and food assistance
Policy Centers Income and Benefits Policy Center
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