Kansas

PROJECT

Forecasting State and National Trends in Household Formation and Homeownership

Kansas

Forecasting State Homeownership Trends

Trends in household formation and homeownership have important implications for states’ housing markets and broader economies. They also reveal who has benefited from homeownership and who has been shut out of this critical wealth-building tool. To better understand the past and future of household formation and homeownership in Kansas, we look at trends by age, race, and ethnicity. Our projections, using data from decennial censuses and the American Community Survey, show what will happen over the next two decades if current policies stay the same. For more details on the methodology, see our report.

Household Formation

We look at changes in the number of households (defined as one or more people who live in a housing unit) for four racial and ethnic groups: Hispanic, non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic Black, and people of other races, which includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people (all of whom are non-Hispanic). We also examine household formation trends for people younger than 65 and people ages 65 and older.

Number of Households and Household Growth

Number of Households in Kansas, by Race or Ethnicity

	1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040
Total	939,972	1,037,718	1,112,080	1,146,323	1,186,455	1,196,817
White	854,857	900,362	927,360	919,178	911,171	875,120
Black	46,010	54,047	61,430	61,714	63,004	62,066
Hispanic	23,620	48,244	77,790	107,445	140,413	172,821
Other	15,485	35,065	45,500	57,986	71,867	86,809

	Household Growth: Kansas			Household Growth: Nationwide
	2010–2020	2020–2030	2030–2040	2010–2020	2020–2030	2030–2040
Total	3.1%	3.5%	0.9%	5.9%	6.4%	5.4%
White	−0.9%	−0.9%	−4.0%	0.1%	0.5%	−1.3%
Black	0.5%	2.1%	−1.5%	9.9%	10.1%	8.8%
Hispanic	38.1%	30.7%	23.1%	22.1%	19.2%	17.3%
Other	27.4%	23.9%	20.8%	20.9%	20.0%	18.4%

Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
Notes: Values for 2020, 2030, and 2040 are projected values. The “Other” category includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people.

Number of Households in Kansas, by Age

Number of Households in Kansas, by Age, Race, and Ethnicity

	Younger than 65				65 and older
	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	White	Black	Hispanic	Other
1990	641,681	37,845	21,514	14,155	213,176	8,165	2,106	1,330
2000	684,320	46,435	44,705	31,744	216,042	7,612	3,539	3,321
2010	701,880	52,140	72,030	40,540	225,480	9,290	5,760	4,960
2020	644,699	48,528	96,565	50,262	274,479	13,187	10,880	7,724
2030	573,328	45,347	119,318	60,627	337,843	17,656	21,096	11,240
2040	542,457	42,775	140,387	72,517	332,662	19,291	32,435	14,292

Number of Households in the United States, by Age, Race, and Ethnicity

	Younger than 65				65 and older
	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	White	Black	Hispanic	Other
2000	60,344,232	9,972,344	8,293,773	4,728,999	18,748,904	1,835,658	928,629	627,564
2020	55,784,880	11,872,258	14,733,722	7,456,779	26,591,297	3,379,648	2,550,232	1,616,708
2040	48,524,107	13,051,680	19,825,205	10,817,807	33,236,589	5,553,598	6,026,735	3,088,951

Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
Notes: Values for 2020 and 2040 are projected values. The “Other” category includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people.

Household Racial and Ethnic Composition, by Age, in Kansas, and Nationwide

Homeownership

We look at changes in homeownership for four racial and ethnic groups: Hispanic, non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic Black, and people of other races, which includes Asians, American Indians, Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders, and multiracial people (all of whom are non-Hispanic). We also examine trends in the number of homeowners and renters younger than 65 and people 65 and older.

Kansas Homeownership Rates, by Race or Ethnicity

	1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040
Total	68.1%	69.3%	67.8%	66.6%	65.7%	64.8%
White	70.2%	72.4%	71.6%	71.2%	70.4%	69.3%
Black	44.3%	44.1%	39.4%	35.4%	33.5%	32.4%
Hispanic	51.2%	50.5%	53.0%	53.6%	56.8%	60.0%
Other	46.3%	53.3%	54.0%	51.7%	51.9%	52.4%

National Homeownership Rates, by Race or Ethnicity

	1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040
Total	65.3%	66.2%	65.1%	64.7%	63.6%	62.2%
White	70.1%	72.4%	72.2%	73.0%	72.5%	71.4%
Black	45.2%	46.3%	44.3%	41.9%	41.1%	40.6%
Hispanic	43.3%	45.7%	47.3%	49.0%	50.2%	51.3%
Other	53.7%	53.0%	56.3%	58.1%	57.9%	57.4%

Homeowners and Renters, by Age, in Kansas and Nationwide

Kansas Homeownership Rates, by Age

	1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040
Younger than 65	64.1%	66.1%	64.7%	62.0%	61.3%	61.7%
65 and older	80.7%	80.4%	78.6%	79.2%	74.8%	70.9%

National Homeownership Rates, by Age

	1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040
Younger than 65	62.3%	63.0%	61.6%	59.5%	57.5%	56.5%
65 and older	75.8%	78.1%	77.5%	78.4%	76.0%	73.0%

Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
Note: Values for 2020, 2030, and 2040 are projected values.

Millions of Owners and Renters in Kansas and Nationwide, by Age

Sources: Decennial censuses, the American Community Survey, and Urban Institute projections.
Note: Values for 2020, 2030, and 2040 are projected values.

Research Areas

Housing finance

Policy Centers

Housing Finance Policy Center