The Best Evidence Suggests the Effects of the ACA on Employment Will Be Small

Brief

The Best Evidence Suggests the Effects of the ACA on Employment Will Be Small

Abstract

A recent report by the CBO concluded that the ACA could reduce the number of people working, almost entirely because workers would choose to work less due to incentives in the law. This report places the ACA and its employment effects in the context of other social programs. It assesses the evidence on likely employment effects from four recent and directly relevant studies. The best evidence to date suggests the employment effects of the ACA are likely to be small, and that the CBO estimate may be toward the high end of the range of potential ACA effects on employment.

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