State Progress Toward Health Reform Implementation: Slower Moving States Have Much to Gain

Fredric Blavin, Matthew Buettgens, Jeremy Roth

We use the Health Insurance Policy Simulation Model to explore the correlations between a state's progress toward implementing the Affordable Care Act and the anticipated benefits of the reform for state residents, as measured by the expected state gains in insurance coverage and federal subsidies. We group states in three categories based on the status of legislative action and the receipt of level 1 federal establishment grants. We find that states that have made the least progress in establishing health insurance exchanges are in general those that have the largest potential gains in coverage and federal subsidy dollars per capita.

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