Health and the Cost of Nongroup Insurance

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Posted to Web: September 01, 2003
Permanent Link: http://www.urban.org/url.cfm?ID=1000716
This analysis estimates a selection-adjusted model of the premium for nongroup insurance to measure the effect of health status on the cost of nongroup insurance. Using data from two recent national surveys, the probability of buying nongroup insurance is about 50 percent lower for people in fair or poor health compared to similar people in excellent health. Correcting for selection, premiums are 13 to 16 percent higher for people with modest health problems and 43 to 50 percent higher for people with major health problems compared to someone in excellent health. We use the selection-corrected premiums to simulate the effects on the price and affordability of nongroup insurance for the uninsured under two recent tax credit proposals. (Inquiry 40(3): 235–53, Fall 2003.)

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