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Publications by Aaron Lucas for Health Policy Center

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Health Insurance in Nonstandard Jobs and Small Firms: Differences for Parents by Race and Ethnicity (Series/Perspectives on Low-Income Working Families)
Lisa Clemans-Cope, Genevieve M. Kenney, Aaron Lucas

This brief provides new insights about health insurance coverage gaps among racial and ethnic minority groups, focusing on parents with employment in small firms or nonstandard employment. Compared with white parents, a disproportionate share of Latino and black parents have nonstandard employment, and Latino parents are more likely to have employment in small firms. These work arrangements increase the risk of being uninsured since they are less likely to come with an offer of health insurance compared to regular large firm employment. Few uninsured Latino parents could obtain coverage under existing Medicaid programs. Potential impacts of health reform are discussed.

Posted: May 14, 2010Availability: HTML | PDF

Achieving Quality, Affordable Health Insurance for All New Yorkers: An Analysis of Reform Options (Research Report)
Linda J. Blumberg, Bowen Garrett, Matthew Buettgens, Lisa Clemans-Cope, John Holahan, Aaron Lucas, Paul Masi, Baoping Shang

Under contract to the State of New York, researchers conducted in-depth micro-simulation analyses of four types of health care reforms being considered for state implementation: a single payer public health insurance option, Assembly Member Gottfried's New York Health Plus proposal that provides an option for all New Yorkers to enroll in Family Health plus, public-private hybrid options that simplify and expand existing public programs and reform private health insurance, and a market-based option that relies on regulatory flexibility and tax credits. The cost and coverage implications of state reform options falling into these four categories are presented in this report.

Posted: July 24, 2009Availability: HTML | PDF

The Coverage and Cost Impacts of Expanding Medicaid (Research Report)
Bowen Garrett, John Holahan, Allison Cook, Irene Headen, Aaron Lucas

Medicaid provides a strong platform on which reform efforts to expand health insurance coverage can be built as two-thirds of the nation’s uninsured are low-income. Medicaid coverage could be broadened to reach more of the low-income uninsured by eliminating categorical restrictions and establishing a national eligibility standard based on income. This paper analyzes several options for expanding Medicaid using various income eligibility thresholds for adults and children under both current and enhanced participation rates. The analysis shows coverage and cost implications of the options, as well as impacts by region and with payment rates adjusted to promote provider participation.

Posted: June 11, 2009Availability: HTML

Health Reform: The Cost of Failure (Research Report)
John Holahan, Bowen Garrett, Irene Headen, Aaron Lucas

This report uses the Health Insurance Policy Simulation Model (HIPSM) to quantify the intermediate and longer-term implications if America’s health care system is not significantly overhauled. Under a range of economic scenarios, the analysis shows an increasing strain on business owners and their employees over the next decade if reform is not enacted. There would be a dramatic decline in the number of people insured through employers, and millions more could become uninsured. There would be large growth in Medicaid/CHIP enrollment and spending, and increased spending on uncompensated health care. Middle-income working families would be the most affected.

Posted: May 21, 2009Availability: HTML | PDF

Nine in Ten: Using the Tax System to Enroll Eligible, Uninsured Children into Medicaid and SCHIP (Research Report)
Stan Dorn, Bowen Garrett, Cynthia Perry, Lisa Clemans-Cope, Aaron Lucas

In 2004, 89.4 percent of uninsured children who qualified for Medicaid or the State Children's Health Insurance Program lived in families who filed federal income tax forms. This substantially exceeds the proportion of uninsured but eligible children who can be reached through many other outreach strategies. Federal lawmakers could cover uninsured children in these families by: (a) changing federal income tax forms so parents can identify their uninsured children and request coverage; (b) investing in information technology allowing data exchange between states and the Internal Revenue Service; and (c) letting states cover uninsured children if tax information shows they qualify.

Posted: February 27, 2009Availability: HTML | PDF


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