Research by Author & Topic

Publications by Leonard E. Burman on Tax Policy

Len Burman, former director of the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, explains why our spending and borrowing policies are leading the country toward catastrophic budget failure. Burman argues that the Congressional Budget Office's bleak economic forecasts are too optimistic, so we must act quickly to reduce our deficits. Len Burman is an Urban Institute Affiliated Scholar and the Daniel Patrick Moynihan professor of public policy at the Maxwell School at Syracuse University.

In a Washington Times op-ed, Len Burman explains why even this gloom-and-doom outlook is "wildly over-optimistic." The latest CBO budget outlook predicts a bleak scenario if we don't change our current policies.

What will work best to stimulate the nation out of recession? Look to the states, says Len Burman in a commentary for public radio's Marketplace program.

In this paper we review the current wealth transfer tax rules and the changes introduced in 2001. We offer an overview of the methodology underlying the TPC's estate tax model and then use the model to estimate the number of estate tax filers, taxable returns, and the distribution of burden under current law. Finally, we investigate the revenue and distributional effects of several proposals to reform the estate tax, including those put forth by the presidential candidates.

Tax and fiscal policy will loom large in the next president's domestic policy agenda. Nearly all of the tax cuts enacted since 2001 expire at the end of 2010 and the individual alternative minimum tax (AMT) threatens to ensnare tens of millions of Americans. While a permanent fix palatable to both political parties has proven elusive, both candidates have proposed major tax changes. This report describes how we performed our modeling and analysis, outlines the major tax proposals, and discusses the implications of their policies for the revenue raised, taxpayer economic activity, and the distribution of the tax burden.

In this testimony Burman outlines a plan for tax reform that would maintain progressivity, raise enough revenues to finance the government, and dovetail with plans to provide universal access to health insurance. It would combine a value-added tax (VAT) dedicated to pay for a new universal health insurance voucher with a vastly simplified and much flatter income tax. With a new financing source for health care, income tax rates could be cut sharply-the top rates could be cut to 25 percent or less. The health care voucher would also offset the inherent regressivity of a VAT. And, under the simplified system, most Americans would not have to file income tax returns.

The run-up to the Pennsylvania primary raised many questions about capital gains and the effects tax-rate changes have on revenues. How significant are the candidates' differences? And how will raising or lowering the tax rate affect middle-class Americans?

Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain wants to suspend the federal gas tax for the summer travel season. Truckers say they like the idea. In this Marketplace commentary, Len Burman, Director of the Tax Policy Center explains why Senator McCain’s proposal won’t get us where he wants to go. http://marketplace.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/04/17/burman_commentary/

New York Times, January 23, 2008 - Since 2001, official Washington's answer to every policy question has been the same. What should we do with a big surplus? Tax cuts. How do we beat back global terrorism? Tax cuts. Increase energy independence? Rebuild New Orleans? Expand health insurance coverage? Tax cuts, tax cuts, tax cuts. Now comes another question to which taxes have long been at least part of the answer. How do we stimulate the economy to prevent or shorten a recession?

In principle, a well-timed and carefully designed economic stimulus package can help avert or minimize a recession. In practice, timing a fiscal stimulus is nearly impossible since forecasters usually "predict" economic turning points only long after they have occurred. Len Burman and Jeff Rohaly discuss past experiences and current issues with economic stimulus packages in this Wall Street Journal Real Time Economics blog entry.